Welcome UFC Enthusiasts to our view of UFC 204 held in Manchester England. These English fans are rabid enough to fill Manchester Arena at 11PM local time to view the preliminary fights with the main card starting at 3AM local time! We respect and admire the maniacal multitude in Manchester who’ll be locked and ‘loaded’ in their support of the combatants from the Commonwealth.
GambLou.com past results across all sports are published on our ‘Profitability’ tab found at the top of our webpage. We realized a 7-3 +768.00 result for subscribers over the last two UFC cards and we’re just beginning to heat up as we enter the last quarter of the UFC calendar. Enclosed is but one of the five mangy mutts we’ve mustered up in Manchester.
(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated. We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is accounted for each Monday AM. Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability while providing our readers with 110% disclosure).
Mousasi -315 vs. Belfort +285
This is a play based on the styles of these fighters. Sure Vitor is a simple shell of his former ‘Chernobyl’ state but he is and always will be a fighter…and a proud one at that. He’ll be at his most dangerous early and should wane drastically if this fight starts the second round. This release is an indirect wager on Vitor for we believe he is able to get this fight past five minutes not as much on his own merit but also coupled with the fact that Gregard ‘s plan of attack most likely involves avoiding high risk early in the fight when Vitor has his best chance at a ‘Sunday shot’.
Fight starts Round 2 -120
Grant -175 vs. Stasiak +165
Grant towers over Stasiak and will have to keep this fight standing for if Stasiak can get the larger man with substandard submission skill on the surface the advantage is his. Stasiak must take Grant to the mat for a maul and the longer the fight goes the more likely Stasiak is to get the fight on the floor. Stasiak is another Polish pup we hope to be proud of tonight.
Stasiak +165 (half)
Tumenov -240 vs. Edwards +220
Tumenov is a bit of an anomaly as contrary to most Russian fighters, he is basically a stand up artist who can struggle against the grapplers/wrestlers in the organization. He sports impressive wins over strikers seemingly every bit as capable as Leon Edwards. In this fight Edwards should sport speed, precision and athleticism but he’ll fight a striking battle against a cat in Tumenov that is a deft striker. We don’t see Edwards trying to grapple with Tumenov rather we feel he will go out and try to overwhelm the Russian with his agility and precision punching and basically beat him at his strength. Edwards approach is risky if he can’t keep Tumenov on the receiving end of precision punches and body kicks. Tumenov is capable but we feel he is just a bit too plodding and slow for the mangy mutt in Manchester tonight. Tumenov won’t go easy but he may go late.
Diakiese -280 vs. Sajewski +255
This is Diakiese’s debut in the UFC and we do recognize his athleticism, size and reach advantages. With a wrestling/grappling base AND speed with power in his stand up game Diakiese is being well regarded in his debut fight and rightfully so BUT! Diakiese opened -180 and has been wagered to the current -280. He’s stepping up in competition level here against an opponent in Sajewski that many feel is a can but we are not quite convinced of that just yet. Sajewski’s two UFC fights against Hein and Burns display to us a competition level far surpassing anything Diakiese has experienced. Sajewski is in a highly desperate spot for if he loses this fight he may well be forced to return to the regional racket which no organization fighter wants to endure. He’s a rugged tough striker that we fee will offer his absolute best tonight against a guy that showed us a little ‘debut jitter’ at weigh-ins yesterday. Diakiese must demonstrate before we believe….we’ll side with the pooch from Poland here.
Sajewski +260 (half)
Martins -210 vs. Santos +190
We’re surprised at the line on this fight moving away from the more powerful and complete fighter to the older Brazilian fighter albeit the taller, longer fighter. Martins opened -350 and the line has eroded now to -200. We’ll take the value on the more complete, athletic, powerful fighter and play a rare open ended 2 team parlay.
Martins -200 (open parlay for 1 unit)
Roberts +100 vs. Perry -110
A basic pick-em fight featuring an American fighter most recently made well known for his camps ignorant, hateful display in his last fight against a local English bloke who will be the larger, taller, longer fighter in this matchup. Perry is tough, straight forward, wide and wild in his striking while Roberts is more refined and precise in his blueprint to win. Roberts will need to weather the early fury from Perry and maintain distance in order to pulverize Perry as the fight wears on as we believe that’s exactly what will happen here provided Roberts can overcome Perry’s early press. Roberts is more complete in his fight arsenal than Perry and while he looked pedestrian against Steele in his last out we believe he sets up well against this raging rogue.
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