Saturday's UFC TUF results 3-2 + 345.00
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Welcome fight Enthusiasts to the home stretch of the 2016 fiscal year for us in the UFC. This year our win percentage has been down when comparing them to past years and that does not sit well here at GambLou HQ. Our single point of focus in December is to in a matriculated approach profit for the month and take our decent numbers up to semi-acceptable then turn the page and move to next year. So with precision focus on the fights let’s start our end of the year run today. I’ll also state that we appreciate you who pay to view our results and we scour those results carefully. If we lay an egg for you we’ll deposit another UFC fight card into your account so your dough isn’t lost.
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Johnson -840 vs. Elliott +660
We believe and have acclaimed Mighty Mouse as the top P4P fighter in the UFC for a number of years now and well before it was as vogue as it is now to. That said this is the UFC and we also have proclaimed that it is tough to keep taking out top contenders one after one in a row without a tomato can inserted somewhere in between to allow the body and mind to take a bit of a break. Johnson’s speed, precision, accumulated power coupled with his dynamic abilities on the floor make him a complete and destructive fighting machine. We're uncomfortable however with his talk of tonight’s after hour’s party and his quest for the most consecutive title defenses in UFC history and while tjose are worthy goals we feel these acknoledgements also contribute to his potential distraction leading into tonight’s fight. Is Johnson ripe for an upset or even in for a tough grinding fight tonight? We feel so.
Tim Elliott arrives in the cage the less sophisticated fighter yet the taller, longer southpaw swinger. Elliott’s style is quite unorthodox for he is a huge fighter for the Flyweight division, is very well rounded in his fight arsenal and relies on his grit, heart and toughness to get his hand raised. Further and the reason we really like the Kansan tonight is that this is his return to the UFC and he realizes the opportunity to provide for his family doing what he loves as opposed to hitting the want ads. In his first stint in the organization he was tossed in to tussles with the likes of guys named Makovsky, Benavidez (yes Joe), and Bagautinov and while he got schooled in those fights and was cut the benefits of the experience form those fights and the mentality to get back to the organization for this title fight are not being overlooked by Elliott…in fact they are fueling his belief that this is his time. In interviews he basically says what we have just spelled out here so we know we’ll get his top effort tonight. The kid is smart, knows his opportunity and is prepared to go to battle with the hope of bagging the belt. We believe Elliott shows very well tonight in a matchup that may well show that Elliott belongs at the top of the division.
Elliott +680 (.25 u released 12-2-16)
Fight starts Rd. 5 +105 (released yesterday)
Masvidal -225 vs. Ellenberger +205
Jake Ellenberger found out in his last fight that a desperate aggressive approach to the opponent in the Octagon can reap rich reward. Jorge Masvidal has been hearing from everyone (including yours truly) that he needs to fight with a sense of urgency. Now we all know that’s easy for Uncle Louie to say sitting on the sofa watching these professionals compete but the fact remains….the Organization pays for active exciting results that bolsters the Blokes in the bleachers. Slick, counterpunching split decisions don’t go far for viewers, the ratings or a fighter’s ability to move up in the hierarchy of competition as well as pay. For all of these reasons I believe we have a perfect storm here for two guys that are going to come out and wing it.
Fight won’t go Distance +100
Cutelaba -210 vs. Cannonier +190
Cutelaba at 23 years of age is a scary opponent for he pressures opponents, is powerful, fights at a high pace and has proven to be able to take a belt to the beak. That said he’s in there with a precision power puncher, a guy with experience, movement and most importantly reach. This fight may come off oddly for Cannonier plays a switch stance while the Hulk is a southpaw. We believe this could be a good spot for Cannonier as the mauling Moldavian Cutelaba presses forward into Cannonier's counterpunching. Cutelaba is young and we see this one as a fight where he takes a step forward in the experience category while his opponent takes him to the classroom.
Benavidez -190 vs. Cejudo +170
As discussed with Gabriel Morency on MMAMeltdown this past week (on the Fight Network, @Fightnetwork) it’s our opinion that Joseph Benavidez is a more accomplished a mixed martial artist than is Henry Cejudo at this point in time. Henry’s wresting must be the key for him getting his hand raised tonight and Benavidez, an accomplished wrestler in his own right understands exactly the plan Henry must undertake in order to have any advantage at all. The premium pricing on the fight makes it unable for us to take a side because we feel Joe is just too much but Joe has been popped on the point before and if Henry can touch him who knows what may transpire? Upon scouring the props we found an angle that (like the Elliott play tonight in the main event) is a small recreational position.
Cejudo ITD +1050 (.25 unit)
Profitable Sports Gaming