UFC FN Gustafsson vs. Teixeira: Scaninavian Sunday Shots - 5/27/2017

Welcome to UFC Fight Night from Stockholm fight Enthusiasts.  This card goes off 10am EST Sunday morning and while the fighters overall are not widely recognized by the mainstream UFC fan we do believe we’ve located gaming value on the card.  We’ll remain selective with our releases as we’re tracking favorites in the UFC this year at a 92-34-7 clip.  Here’s a vote for trusting the process….

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Taleb -450 vs. Enkamp +400

Taleb sports experience, durability and power while the Swedish prospect Enkamp arrives on short notice with the opportunity of his youthful career.  Taleb will need to smother the kid, clinch with the wiry striker and wear on him with constant incoming pressure to control the fight.  Enkamp on the other hand must maintain distance and use his quickness and speed to punish the more deliberate incoming Taleb with strikes and use his speed to even get his arms around the plodder and try to take him out.  We’ve never been impressed with Taleb and feel he may be in a bad spot Sunday.  We saw something from each man at weigh-ins that made us take out the Driver here….’Swing it Easy’

Enkamp +400 (half)

Hermannson -160 vs. Nicholson +150

Here’s your fight of the night Enthusiasts.  Hermannson is a precision puncher who will use his stand up to draw the bull close and force this fight to the floor for advantage.  Nicholson is brash brawling bully who’s tough as a two-buck steak and offers very little in the way of adequate defense whether standing or on the floor.  If Nicholson can make this a bar room brawl then this fight should be in his favor while Hermannson will want to use distance to pepper in raging rogue as he rushes into engage, drag him to the floor and try to chock the bloke.

Under 2.5 rounds +160 (half)

Gustafsson -265 vs. Teixeira +245

Gus opened -175 in this fight which in our judgement was a tight number but action has moved the line higher than the Kebnekaise mountain range in the län (county) of Norrbotten, northern Sweden.  Each of these men are toiling to overcome recent adversity.  Teixeira must find his way after a devastating KO loss while Alex must show the fight world that he is the Alex of old as opposed to the Alex that looked languished against Jan Blachowicz.  Alex requires distance to punish the more plodding Brazilian as he attempts to get inside and cling to the longer Swede and pummel him with punches inside the pocket.  If Alex can display the heart, the will and the conditioning to keep this fight at distance he will have advantage but we feel the grit, the desire and the capability lie with the Brazilian.   It’s our belief that Teixeira will eventually be able to work his way inside to make this fight ugly and drag the Viking to the floor for a flop where Glover will own advantage.  Five rounds is a long time….

Teixeira +250                  Teixeira ITD +440 (half)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Preakness Stakes: Brutha Shue breaks it down - 5/19/2017

Here’s round two of the Triple Crown of Horse Racing nag Enthusiasts.  Our boy’s cashed on Looking at Leee last out (Kentucky Derby) and they seem to have feelings about him as well the rest of the field in the Preakness.  Let’s listen in…

 

Dream: Shue Redneck math says that Multiplier came home last race under 12 Seconds.  I’ll go with chalk and throw him in.  LAL is still being overlooked I think that is a mistake.

Shue: Correct Dreamer- 11.91 and I agree with you - gotta have him in there.  And as of this writing, the weather is not going to be a factor.  So having said that, I going chalk.  ALWAYS DREAMING (4-5), is truly a terriffic horse - and he can fly.  I think he'll go gate to wire here.  He'll take the lad and won't relinquish.  CLASSIC EMPIRE (3-1), with the ever disappointing Leparoux still aboard, is a solid horse.  But Leparoux let CE drift 4 gate widths to the outside into oncoming rivals and just got slammed!  He was done at that point.  And my LOOKIN AT LEE (10-1) is still a favorite of mine.  He is such a game horse - he'll just never quit on you - mud, slop, dry - whatever - he's an awesome runner I believe and just never gives up.  He'll have to get on it sooner if he's gonna catch AD.  And the one you mention Dean, MULTIPLIER (30-1), is most certainly worth a wager.  I agree having to include him.  To sum up, as I thought same in the KD, AD will be on the lead for sure - and he's just gonna say "catch me if you can".  So, here's me… Swingin' It Easy….

#1 Multiplier         (30-1)         $5.00  W-P-S             $15.00

#9 Lookin At Lee   (10-1)         $10.00 W-P-S           $30.00

$2.00 Trifecta Box                                                        $48.00

#1 Multiplier  #4 Always Dreaming  #5 Classic Empire  #9 Lookin At Lee

Total Wager                                                                  $93.00

DREAM:  I agree with all your bets brutha Shue..I might add gunnevera and conquest mo money in the third slot of a tri partial wheel they may hit the board even though both horses will be going in opposite directions.  It is worth noting that this is the third time LAL has faced gunnevera and he has ran by him twice. It could also be argued in the stretch at Churchill for the last 1/8th if LAL is in the 2 path and Always Dreaming was in the 3 path things would have been a lot closer. I agree LAL had a dream trip but he was against the track bias when he needed it most and AD had golf cart path watch and you be the judge…Good Luck!

Our Nag knowledgeable kept the Preakness short and sweet.  They’ll be back with profitable pony prognostications for the Belmont Stakes in a few weeks also…..good luck and by all means…’Swing it easy’

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


UFC 211 Texas tap-out: Miocic vs. Dos Santos II - 5/13/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC 211.  Tonight, we have dynamic matchups coupled with the fact that we really like some of the fighters whose pricing has moved well into our favor.  We’ll keep it short, sweet and simple today as we outline four scraps we believe offer gaming value and fighters in position to offer their best effort.  Our free release for UFC 211 is below.  We encourage any interested in profiting from these pugalists to check out our slate of releases.  We wish you all best of luck tonight.  'Swing it Easy'!

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line, up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Jedrzejczyk -180 vs. Andrade +170

Joanna Champion is one of the most lethal fighters in the UFC and with a couple more defenses of her title will be considered an all-time great UFC fighter.  The thing is we need to hear that from everyone other than the champ herself.  Joanna speaks of family, wanting to retire undefeated while doing cameo appearances as champion for the press as well she’s taken months away from home to train in Florida.  While these are all things grizzled champions are used to the fact remains that meteoric fame and success are not conducive to holding onto championship belts.  Joanna is elated to hear of the new 125 lady’s flyweight division for she does struggle to make 115 as witnessed by her weigh-in yesterday AM where she hit her mark of 115 just 5 minutes prior to the deadline looking gaunt and unhappy.  Andrade meanwhile is a fighter who toiled with the ladies at 135 until recently when she decided to dedicate, drop weight and strike with the Strawweight’s.  Andrade fights like John Linaker with relentless forward pressure, constant power striking and a granite chin.  This fight’s going to come down to distance and whether Joanna can maintain it to work off her vicious jab and leg strikes.  Much like Edgar will want to grope with Rodriguez to get him to the floor, Andrade will want to smother Joanna but Andrade’s angle is to eliminate Joanna’s distance thus taking her snap away and strike her inside the pocket where Andrade can be most effective. Andrade is focused and ready to provide us her best tonight. 

Andrade +170

Masvidal -140 vs. Maia +120

Masvidal is really a lightweight fighter that can’t make weight so he’s taken to Welterweight (where he still struggles to make 170) in order to earn.  While effective most recently against another 155’er taken to 170 (Cowboy Cerrone) is fresh on everyone’s mind let us remind all that Masvid

al is a funny cat and while he looked lethal against Cerrone he’s also looked disinterested and unaggressive at times in many other fights.  So, the striker Masvidal is up in division and he is going to face a guy in Maia that has dropped to 170 from 185.  Maia will be the much larger, taller man in the octagon come fight time and while he will not want to engage Masvidal at Jorge’s strength which is striking, he will want to find a way to clinch, cling and force Masvidal to the floor where Maia can smother and submit.  ‘Recency theory’ has bettors making Masvidal their choice which has allowed us to realize value on Maia as he opened -175 and we can now take Maia as a mangy mutt…

Maia +120

Edgar -115 vs. Rodriguez -105

Edgar is a pedigreed wrestling based fighter who has been in the Octagon with the who’s who of the UFC.  He’s rarely been beaten, has the heart of a Lion and is capable of fighting for five full rounds without issue.  His experience is vast and his skills are well-rounded and effective.  His opponent Yair Rodriguez represents the new breed fighter for the UFC with the style he opts for in the Octagon.  Flashy, athletic, striking based fighters are the UFC’s target for they provide the “Wow’ factor for the fans and flashy precision based striking sells product.  Rodriguez is younger, longer, taller and faster than Frankie and he’ll need to keep at distance to be able to tag him with all the spinning pomp and circumstance that he wants to display.  This step up to Frankie is too much too quick in our opinion and it’s a classic mishandle by the organization as well Rodriguez’s handlers in our opinion.  Frankie must find a way to make this a phone booth fight, clasp the capable up and comer and mash him to the mat for a mauling.  Rodriguez has never been in with this complete a fighter and today we feel he will earn his PhD in the UFC.

Edgar -115

Skelly -100 vs Knight -110

Skelly’s well rounded fight arsenal, his length, reach and experience plus the fact that he is a more complete MMA fighter at this point all make him a formidable foe and reasonable favorite in this fight.  Knight is a vicious, tough, electric, improving fighter and a capable grappler no doubt but he’ll have a tough time dealing with Skelly’s size, cardio and ground game.  Skelly opened a fair -195 and now he’s a pick.  We’ll grab the more complete mixed martial artist and more importantly the value…

Skelly +100

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs: Half way to Hoisting! Profit Report - 5/11/2017

We’re half way to Hoisting Puckheads!  Here’s a complete recap of our activity and profitability.  While most Future opportunities (offering value) have past we still plan on attacking the last two rounds with the same vigor as we have the previous two.  We’ve really dominated in the wild wild West while we still have mucho work to do in the Wales Conference.  Let’s review….

Round I: 11-7 +9.36 units          Round II:  8-9  +1.28 units

Futures still working

Predators for Campbell +758; Ducks for Campbell +660. Ducks for Cup +1500

Currently we stand 1-5 <4.45> units on releases made prior to the start of the playoffs.  We have added some prop and Future wagers through each round and any interested Profit seekers may access those records (as well ALL of our previous releases) by accessing the “Profitability’ tab on the top of the GambLou.com webpage.

Playoff passion hit a highpoint last night with two awesome game sevens and we’re only half way through!  More dynamic hockey and displays of individual and team dedication await us…

Interested in jumping in for the last rounds?  Hit us up

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Puck Passion: Profitability Update - 5/7/2017

Here's a quick update on our status in the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs 2017: 

GambLou.com clients hold a Future wager on the Preds +758 to win the Campbell Conference.  Clients also hold a Future on the Ducks to win the Conference +660 and the Cup +1500.  

The Predators have earned the right to compete for the Campbell Bowl against the winner of Wednesday's Duck/Oiler game 7.  We'll be paying keen interest in that game Wednesday after the Wales Conference holds a couple of game six contests where the Sens and Pens can each close out their opponents and move to compete for the Prince of Wales Trophy.

We'll provide a complete update on Profitability as soon as Round II is completed but here is a quick snapshot of our activity:

Round 1:  11-7 + 9.36 units

Round II:  7-10 <1.87> units

Futures working:  Preds for Conference +758; Ducks for Conference +660, Ducks for Cup +1500;  Caps for Cup +505; Senators series +135

The Playoffs are only half way determined and we are profitable to date with Futures working to insure bottom line profitability.  Round III will be available to purchase for any interested Puckheads wanting to jump in late and earn some bottom line profitability...

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Kentucky Derby Two Horsemen converse Brutha Shue & the Dream - 5/5/2017

Shue: Hello Boys - OK so see attached numbers I've just run.  A couple of first glance notices - firstly there are 21 horses in this mix.  SONNETEER, as of this writing, is not officially "in" the KD - as he will need a defection to be entered - which I hope he gets - because I have a legitimate lean towards him.  The "odds" column are the early odds set by Mike Watchmaker and by no means will stay the same come race day.  OK, so at first glance, from a numbers look only - I like homeboy GIRVIN (20-1), LOOKIN AT LEE (30-1) and GUNNEVERA (12-1).  All three have very consistent closing times with Girvin being the most solid.  OK Dreamer, hit me with the homeboy stuff - I deserve it.  He hasn't run in great company (true) and has had absolutely perfect trips last three races (true)....AND it's been like over 50 years since a Louisiana Derby winner has won the Kentucky Derby - lots going against him for sure.  Well, I'll let my numbers speak for themselves and represent!  Early thoughts now....and of course subject to change....

Correction....GRINDSTONE won the Kentucky Derby in 1996 - he was also the Louisiana Derby winner.

Dream: Thanks for the numbers Drew. I know you are a homer and I like the horse to be upfront at the mile pole trying his eyes out just don’t know if he can finish (times or no times he is slowing down on the end of his races). Horses I can’t fade right now are LLL, McCracken, Classic Empire.  Horses on the front that I think will hold on and get a piece Girvin, Always dreaming and practical joke.  Hence, Gunnevera and Always Dreaming are puzzling to me.

Just my early thoughts. I am looking for horses that want 1 ¼ with CD experience.  What are you going to do with McCraken?  Yes I am well aware of McCracken and CD along with LLL that is why I brought it up. I as well don’t like the Bluegrass as I pointed out. If you want to throw Classic Empire and McCracken be my guest.  Every year we get a lightly raced 3 year old with an awesome Beyer and it is usually a Pletcher horse.  Not a big fan of GP horses unless they showed something on another circuit. They always seem to fail and take too much money. Always Dreaming is Pletcher’s only shot so maybe keep him but exotics only.  I’m not going to try and convince anyone to keep McCracken but I am.  Hence may stay on in the final 1/4

Shue: Does PATCH (30-1) ring a bell then?  A lightly raced Pletcher horse - who, at your urging, I hit on in the La Derby.  He closed well I thought - and looking for a rider I believe.

Dream: Love the breeding! Not a huge over the top Beyer. I wish the breeding was flipped tough with AP Indy up top. Then we would really have something to talk about. Pletcher seems to have them cranked for the minor rewards.  Using my redneck math I came up with these final 1/8th times.  I used N/A next to times I believe the horse either didn’t run his race or had an excuse.  Two horses with N/A’s I think might be worth exploring were Looking at Lee and McCracken.

Shue: Noted and FYI, I use, as a benchmark, 1 length = 1/5 of a second. The timed fractions come from the 'calls' and the times of the lead horse given in the past performances from the DRF. If you ÷ my quarter mile times by 2 - we are almost spot on. Double check PATCH (30-1), I think. I had him closing in 12 flat. And brother, I am loving LAL (30-1)! He's flying at the end of the Arkansas Derby - meandering his way down the stretch. HENCE (20-1) on my radar too….

Dream: Well, you got my response on the reason why we are off. The last 1/8th is the last 1/8th. Not the last quarter divided by 2. 5 lengths 3 lengths doesn’t matter he was ahead on last two calls for the final 1/8th he ran 12.4.  I am sticking with my top three sections on top.  McCracken who needed last and it was a dry run last go around as I pointed to the connections and past examples.  Classic Empire who is the 2 year old champ and will probably improve closed well in Arkansas.  Looking at Lee jockey has held him back until the switch with Lanerie is a big plus was closer to pace last time and weaved all over the place should finished 2nd at least last time.  Closing times are there he will want the distance.

Horses underneath I will use 2nd and 3rd slot….Always dreaming because I have too.  Practical joke is a road warrior and always shows up has back class as with Classic Empire and Looking at Lee.  Hence working well and Sunland was good.  Sonneteer fastest closing of them all.  Last work was 47 and change at CD.  Gunnevera also closing but may be too slow early.  Girvin was slowing up but if they go slow he might get a jump to hold on for a piece.  I don’t know how I will bet it but top 3 will be in there.

Shue:  My top three are gonna be LOOKIN AT LEE (20-1), SONNETEER (50-1) and CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1).  I'll have McCRAKEN (5-1) in there somewhere - just not sure where.  My breakdown goes like this:  LAL, despite finishing third in the Arkansas Derby, gave such a valiant effort - changing lanes 2-3 times in the stretch – and responding each time to direction of jockey Luis Contreras - hard charging all the way through - was quite impressive to me.  I just hope he has another set of booster rockets strapped on to get to the wire first come Saturday.  LAL has had some really nice closing times last two trips out too.  I think, (and hope), he's ready to nip them all at the wire for this one.  Sonneteer, still a maiden,  hasn't won a race at all.  But despite that humongous fact - he has the fastest closing time of all of the KD entrant’s last time out going 1 1/8.  And even though he finished 4th in the Arkansas Derby - he was the one running the fastest at the end.  And yes, bucking history with this one as it's been 98 years since a maiden won the KD - yes sir - 98 years!  And BTW, Sonneteer was charging a couple of ticks faster than LAL and the Ark winner CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1). And speaking of CE, he is probably the best in the field this weekend.  But I am so not a fan of the Frenchman who will ride him on Saturday.  Leparoux, for whatever reason, always seems to find trouble in big races - always!  So for that reason and that reason only - I won't have him on top.  But then again, CE may be just that good, I suppose you could have a monkey in the irons and he'd still win.  And finally to McCraken.  Despite running a very poor closing time, as all of the Blue Grass runners did, he is at his home track - where he has 3 wins in 3 starts there.  I truly believe in the home field advantage – and I really think McCraken has a true advantage here.  Save for the Blue Grass, he’s had some pretty consistent closing times.  It’s just that lackluster performance in the BG puzzles me a bit – but OK, he’s home now and loving the CD track – I’ll take him too!  But $adly, he’s been getting such good ink all week long, training extremely well, eating all of his oats etc., his price had dipped considerably.  Must not count him out.  And let me throw one more nugget your way – HENCE (15-1). Another Asmussen dude I like - he’ll stalk and he can run too.  My hope is that ALWAYS DREAMING (5-1), will jet straight to the lead and try to go gate to wire – just like his daddy Bodemeister tried to do, but came up short – gassing in the last 150 yards.  Make no mistake, he’s a super horse for sure, but I don’t think he’ll have the juice to finish strong.  I do think he’ll set a super-hot pace though – which will make way for my closers LAL, CE and Sonneteer.  Hopefully my guys won’t wait too long to get going.  Giddy up ya’ll!!!!!

Shue’s Bets

$10.00   W-P-S   #1 Lookin At Lee (20-1)     $30.00

$10.00   W-P-S   #8 Hence (15-1)                   $30.00

$10.00   W-P-S   #12 Sonneteer (50-1)         $30.00

 $2.00 Exacta Box (5 horses)                          $40.00

#1 Lookin At Lee (20-1), #8 Hence (15-1) , #12 Sonneteer (50-1), #14 Classic Empire (4-1), #15 McCraken (5-1)

 $1.00 Trifecta Box (5 horses)                         $60.00

#1 Lookin At Lee (20-1), #8 Hence (15-1), #12 Sonneteer (50-1), #14 Classic Empire (4-1),  #15 McCraken (5-1)       

     Total Wager       $190.00

Dream:  Shue, I agree with ALL of your picks and concur with your bets. One horse has been chewing at me and I think I need to back him along with my top 3 and that would be TAPWRIT according to the form he chased McCraken in the Sam F Davis stakes at Tampa but seemed to get blocked into the stretch turn and had to wait for McCraken to clear in the stretch. He was gaining on him quickly towards the wire. He returned to the Tampa Bay Derby and ran a bang up race breaking the stakes and track record. Regardless of what he ran against it was impressive and under the radar. He like McCraken did not show up in the Bluegrass and neither needed the points to get into the derby. He has been training well and very well could be under  at odds of over 20-1+. Your ¼ times had him at 24.52 for the Tampa Bay Derby that should put him in the mix if he is on top of his game.  I will use my same top three

LOOKIN AT LEE (20-1)          CLASSIC EMPIRE (4-1)               McCRAKEN (5-1)

I will use same horses underneath in the trifecta partial wheel as before but pull GIRVIN OUT and replace with TAPWRIT IN.

W,P,S on LAL, TAPWRIT, SONNETEER

This horse race is wide open and I can see just about 10 horses with shots in thiis one.  

Uncle Louis: There you have it Pony prognosticators....these guys have been damn good year in and year out with the Kentucky Derby.  Conduct your Due Dilgence, remain Selective, manage your money and always remember to ‘Swing it Easy’!

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


Stanley Cup Playoffs: Puck Profits presented - 5/1/2017

Here’s a recap of Puck Profitability along with some statistics we track each year during Puck passion.

Statistics

Favorites Round I:  17-23-2    Favorites Round II:  2-7-1

Home teams Rd I:   19-23       Home Teams Rd II:  5-5

Profitability

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

Round I:  11-7 +9.36

Round II: 6-3   +3.88

Working Futures:

Ducks Campbell +660; Cup +1500

Preds Campbell +758

Caps Cup +510

Senators series vs. Rags +135

Oilers eliminate Blues in Campbell +590

(All 1 unit wagers unless specified otherwise)

Graded futures releases:

Preds series vs. Hawks +155 W

Jackets series vs Pens   +140 L

Habs Wales + 858 L (2u); Habs Cup +1400 L

(All 1 unit wagers unless otherwise specified)

In play series wagers: Hawks +340 L, Wild +310 L, Leafs +480 L

(.5 unit positions intended to minimize loss/maximize gain)

GambLou.com Clients stand +13.24

units since the Stanley Cup Playoffs have started with all Futures losses accounted for and 6 units of Futures positions working.

Round III Stanley Cup available to any interested parties….hit us up to ‘Swing it Easy’.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Stanley Cup Profitability: Round I recap - 4/24/2017

Welcome Puckheads to the GambLou.com NHL Round I and Futures accounting.  Round I has provided us profitability while allowing us to pay out dead Future positions and reassess the Futures releases we have working into this second round of passion.  We attack this tournament by breaking it down into five rounds; Futures, Round I, Round II, Championship Round then Cup Final.  Let’s break down the Futures and Round I.

Round I:

11-7 +9.36 Units

Future releases: 

Ducks +660 Campbell; Ducks +1500 Cup

Predators +1200 Campbell (half)

It is our goal each year in the Stanley Cup Playoffs to earn enough profit in Round I to pay for our Futures releases and hopefully have investment dollars remaining to reinvest in Round II with enhanced profitability the goal.  This year our plan has worked well but we are only two stages into the five stage plan of attack so suffice it to say that there is much to do before we can claim any success for the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs. 

Round I is now history so we will now focus on Round II with the same fervor and passion by which we began this Tournament for there is profit to be earned and fantastic hockey to be absorbed and we will be involved in every maniacle minute of it. 

One Look at our remaining Futures positions and one notices that we are missing an active Future position in the Wales Conference (thanks Montreal) look for that to change as we release our second set of wagers prior to this Round II. 

As we did in the first round all Clients (and any new clients joining us for the second round) will load 10 tokens into the site then be able to see a running ‘on line’ time dated accounting of all our daily releases as well as any Futures we place prior to the drop of the frozen rubber Wednesday afternoon.  We post releases at least 59 minutes prior to the drop of the puck in order to try to gain every penny of value as we are dog delvers and the price on pups is best the closer we get to puck drop for most folk (at least the ones we are fading) play last minute so we try to wait to scoop up added value. 

As always I am available to any and all interested parties. lou@gamblou.com

Gamblou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


UFC Nashville Swanson vs. Lobov: Music City melee - 4/22/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC Fight Night Nashville.  Our recent UFC results have mandated a more refined approach to our fight releases.  We’ll be reducing selections and taking a more targeted approach as we move forward into 2017.  

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

-Let’s Fight-

St. Preux -155 vs. De Lima +145

De Lima is used to being the larger more powerful man in the Octagon in his fights and against OSP he’ll surely be the larger man as he missed weight by 5 pounds!  Missing by that much and weighing in as early as he did is a ‘Cowboy’* move that we feel is unfair and cheating for the fighter is saying, ‘to hell with being a professional and making weight….I’ll give up purse money in order to hold advantage as I don’t want to tax myself to make weight’.  This unethical move is unprofessional and should cost the fighter more than simply money. 

De Lima is an aggressive forward stalking slugger whose power is profuse for four minutes but who quickly morphs into a deliberate, telegraphing, stagnant statue after that.  He’ll need to touch Ovince early or he’ll be exposed for his cardio is thin, his weigh is an issue and his path to victory is clearly one dimensional.  OSP is the more athletic, better conditioned fighter physically and if he is prepared to mentally fight a smart tactical fight he is in one fine spot tonight fighting in front of his homies in Tennessee.  Provided St. Preux has learned from past performance and provided he realizes that he must weather De Lima’s early onslaught this fight should turn his way late in the first round as the Brazilian slows and OSP throws.  If the ‘Sunday shots’ from De Lima don’t find their mark early and this fight gets to the second round it will be OSP that will hold advantage for he’s the better conditioned fighter who by plan should be able to drag De Lima to the deck and mash his mug into the mat.  OSP opened -270 and has been faded to the current value opportunity that is -155.  

St. Preux -155 

We'll have a couple mangy mutt releases later today as we're allowing for maximum value....

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

*Cowboy Oliveira pulled this stunt in November against Will Brooks in Portland.  It’s straight out cheating and the penalty should be far greater as we have voiced on several occasions.


NHL Stanley Cup Playoff Passion: Updated - 4/21/2017

Good day Puck Enthusiasts.  Here’s a recap of all NHL Playoff passion activity…

NHL

In Round I GambLou.com Clients are 8-3 +7.76 units.  We’ve had three Futures mature; Columbus (1 unit loss), Hawks for series (.50 unit) and finally the Pred series win (+1.55 unit).  So with Futures stand 1-2 + .05 unit.  Remember, we account to the penny. 

We’ll track all Puck Profit as we progress through this Tournament into Futures results and Round by Round results since our gaming format was set up in that manner.  We’ll provide a total NHL result at the end of the tournament.

Also please note that on special occasion we try to encourage website hits by releasing positions via @Twitter.  We make it clear they are actual releases we ourselves have invested in and we track every release we ask folk to invest in! Last night we gave the Preds -1.5 goals +255 for a half unit which was a clear winner.  ‘Swing it Easy’.

Here are the Futures we have that are still alive although one just by a gasp….

Ducks Cup +1500; Ducks Conference +660

Preds Conference +1200

Habs Cup +1400; Habs Conference +868 (2u)

We hold special passion for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs and work diligently for Client profitability as well our own pride.  Interested Clients should give me a shout at lou@gamblou.com for any questions or comments.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


Money Morning: Puck Profits & Fight frustration - 4/17/2017

Welcome Gaming Enthusiasts to Money Morning where we account for the week’s gaming business profits.  Regular accounting greatly differentiates us from the rest of the gaming universe for we are businessmen as opposed to gamblers and we seperate ourselves by posting all results publicly.  Weekly accounting is mandatory in operating a successful business.  We account for all incoming/outgoing capitol.  Win percentages and ROI are also provided for each sport we cover. 

-Let’s account-

NHL

We’re are passionate about our love and profitability in Hockey playoffs.  Thus far through Round I we are 4-2 + 3.59 units.  Our Futures are all alive and working, here’s a recap of those:

Ducks Cup +1500; Ducks Conference +660

Habs Cup +1400; Habs Conference +868 (2u)

Preds series +155, Preds Conference +1200

Columbus Series +145

There’s plenty more passionate puck ahead and our start is decent but there is more work to be done.  Stay with us through Round I and into the later rounds of playoff Hockey for the potential to produce profuse profitability!

UFC

Rarely do I get agitated, emotional or upset over happenings in the realm of Profitable Sports Gaming but today regarding the UFC we are all three.  Few are as passionate about the UFC as we are and few conduct the work and Due Diligence we perform to be excellent at it.  That said our start this year is quite frustrating as our results are unsatisfactory.

UFC 2017:  12-28 -4.67u win percentage 36.36% -4.6u ROI -12%

These numbers burn me to publish yet they are the actual earned figures.  Searching for explanations we must first look to ourselves and strive to improve our win percentages.  Second we look at results and realize that this year in the UFC Chalk is making us choke!  Favorites through UFC Fox 24 are 76-32 for the year or 70.3%.  Needless to say dog chasers will be disappointed when chalk forces us to choke on these kinds of results.  Our reaction to this feast of Favorites will be to reduce our releases, compress the wager amounts and ride our way through this.

I’ll make one claim to UFC clients right now.  We WILL be profitable in the UFC this year and we DO have a rabid run coming soon.  We urge players to stay the course and watch how we handle this temporary adversity and convert it to pound it out profitability and deliver deposits.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


NHL Passion Play: Futures - 4/16/2017

Welcome Puckheads to our release of the NHL Fuutres.  We post thise today to let you kow that you missed out on a great opportunity for Playoff Puck Profits but it is not too late!  We're available by the round.  Please scroll below for more info or contact me at lou@gamblou.com. We're not finished playing value to increase our bottom line in Playoff Hockey!  Here's our write ups from this past Wednesday...

Wednesday 4-12 1:30PM EST

Welcome Enthusiasts to GambLou.com’s future prognostications for the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs.  Our playoff hockey philosophy was covered in yesterday’s post and is available below so please ingest this as it is our blueprint to Puck Profitability.  Please note we need to set up shop for the duration of the playoffs so please bear with us as we have to allocate Futures monies for these releases.  We're trying to be frugal with output while attempting to maximize return!

The Philosophy:  ‘From the goal out’

Our philosophy in wagering on the Stanley Cup Tournament lies in our belief that true Stanley Cup contenders play hockey ‘from the goal out’.  Simply put any team we invest in must have a world class net minder(s) in goal protected by a group of dynamic defensemen who stonewall scoring chances thus insulating the net.  Finally if our platoon can score a few goals then we consider that a bonus.  We never toil over a team’s tallies because if the opponent cannot score a team cannot lose.  We view defense more critically than we do offense in the quest for the Cup.  We won’t be burdened worrying about a team with a less than a world class minder and/or a blue line that plays putrid defense for we shop for net minding, defense, special teams, drive and focus in determining who gets our investment.  We’ve been following this formula in our Stanley Cup Tournament successes for decades and we know that this template works for us.  Our formula of dynamic Due Diligence, supreme Selectivity and precision Money Management provide a prescription for Puck profit that we wish to share with you this year.

Any teams/positions we release be it for a Series, the Conference or the Stanley Cup must absolutely follow a ‘from the goal out’ theory of hockey because no other practice will allow a capable club to clasp the Cup.

Pricing Format

Stanley Cup Season package is $124.99 which provides Clients will all Futures, Series and any daily positions for all four rounds of the Playoff season.  It's our most comprehensive package.

Round by Round is available for $55.00 but this do not include any Futures released at the beginning of the Tournament.  

Here’s how our Playoff packages will be set up: Clients who have purchased the whole season will be allocated a total of 50 tokens (25 when they purchase the package then another 25 tokens will be added after the purchase of Round I.  We will divide the Playoff season into 5 segments each requiring 10 tokens; Futures, Rounds 1,2,3 and the Finals.  Enthusiasts may also opt to purchase any of the 5 rounds from us for 10 tokens ($55.00).  Clearly there is more value in the full Playoff  package.

It's our goal to be very affordable for the $100.00 player as all of our tracking is based on a one hundred dollar unit and we account for all results daily.    

We work daily to uncover value as the Playoffs evolve so it is not uncommon for us to have Series/Cup positions released during the second or even third round of the playoffs.  We almost always cover Futures wages to insure/enhance the bottom line as we regard Future positions as a tool to insure profitability. 

Let’s Skate-

Wales Conference:  Montreal Canadians

+670 Wales Conference                     +1400 Stanley Cup

*We've since added another unit on the Habs for Wales +1075

Three of the top five teams (odds wise) to hoist the Cup are all located in the bottom side of the Wales Conference bracket.  Rather than swim in those most competitive piranha infested waters we’ll opt to look at the other side of the Wales bracket in order to obtain value and to determine what team adheres to our philosophy of ‘from the goal out’ hockey thus earning themselves a shot to overtake the beast that will present itself in the Conference finals.

The Habs are our choice this year to vie for the Prince of Wales trophy.  The Canadians are anchored in net by Cory Price who is arguably the top net minder in today’s game.  The Habs sport the third lowest GAA at 2.41 and are sound on defense especially considering the addition of Shea Weber who was shipped in this year from Nashville to boost the Canadian leadership, grit, experience and physicality.  Their first round opponent and original six partner NY Rangers enter this series with some uncertainty in net with minder King Henrik toiling with age, coming off an injury and playing behind an only adequate defense.  The only way for the Rags to compete with Montreal is to have Henrik harangue the Habs for the whole of the series and we feel the defense in front of Lunqvuist will make that most difficult even for a team like the Habs that can sometimes struggle to score.  The Habs will sport advantage in almost every category of importance that we track understanding that the one advantage for the Rags is that they do possess a more complete and capable offensive attack (which we choose to discount to some extent) come this time of year.  Two years ago these two met and a hit on G Price by Ranger Kreider put the Habs out in 6, Price out for the playoffs and dashing Montreal’s hopes to hoist.  Price is burning to win a Cup and with the addition of stalwart D Weber and old HC Julien at the helm it is our belief that the Canadians are poised to make a deep run to the Stanley Cup in 2017.

Wales Series Release: 

Columbus fits all the criteria of’ from the goal out’ hockey.  They lack the dynamic names and experience of their foe the Pens but we absolutely love this matchup.  Sure the Bluejackets toiled into the playoffs but we are impressed with their grit, coaching, youth and value!  Pittsburgh will have pride, speed, experience and offensive prowess going for them but they will also be forced to deal with numerous injuries (D Letang, F Malkin and others) which we feel makes them vulnerable on defense and susceptible to a team in the Jackets that are eager to pass over the Pens.

Columbus Blue Jackets +140

Campbell Conference:  Anaheim Ducks

Conference +660           Stanley Cup +1500

In the Campbell we worked long and hard to try to discern which of the two returning teams from last year’s Tournament we wanted to side with before the numbers jumped out at us and forced us to recognize the defensive Ducks.  Last year the Ducks were rolling into the playoffs and were ousted in the first round by the Preds which is a major factor in how we view them this year.  This early ouster embarrassed this veteran laden group but it also provided them a single point of focus for this year…..and that focus we believe will not be more apparent than in this first round series against the Flames.  The Ducks sport a GAA of 2.40 second only to the Caps, they play stout comprehensive defense and at times like the Habs they struggle to score.  We love saying that because this time of year we want minding, defense and oh by the way a tally or two to get us into the next round.  Anaheim is laden with veterans and while Calgary their first round opponent will be one tough series it is our belief that the Duck style of play, their veteran leadership, their early ousting last year and the emergence of young net minder Gibson (who was yanked last year vs. Nashville) will provide them with the singularity of purpose needed to move forward into the second round.  Looking at the Duck pricing one cannot help to think that they are simply being overlooked by the two top groups on the other side of the bracket…..two teams we feel are more than open to upset. Quack.

Campbell Series Release:

Upset alert!  The Preds are real and while they do not tip the charts in GAA we believe that minder Rinne has both the capability to turn a series but the desire.  The Pred D is stout and they can score.  The Preds face a Blackhawk team that resembles the patriots in organizational development and game prowess.  That said, we feel that the deep run made last year by the Preds has this team focused, furious and up to the challenge as this will be the third time these two are pitted against one another in the playoffs.  Chicago won both of those series and while readers are eager to lay down to the Hawks and declare them Western Conference chalk we will be firm in our belief that they are skilled, thinly experienced and formidable but they’re getting long in the tooth, they’re less physical than prior years and only moderately capable on the backside not to mention they have a slew of new players that will be forced from the frying pan into the fire.  In our opinion this series should be close to a pick.  Not only will we invest in the Preds for the Series but we’ll put a pittance on them for the Conference because we absolutely believe they will move into the finals against the Quackers when it is all said and done.

  Predators +155         Conference:  Predators +1200 

For any Daily releases please access the Round I Slate.  Releases will be up daily (if we have any) by 3PM EST…..Thank You

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

If you are reading this you have invested one of our 2017 NHL Stanley Cup Playoff packages.  Thank you and congratulations. You'll be able to access all of our information and strategy right here and we look forward to earning profit in Pucks this year.  As usual Clients may always access me at lou@gamblou.com with questions, issues or discussion.  

Make sure to check back here Wednesday for our Futures releases....those will be up by 4PM EST and all releases will be given with date and time (EST).  Daily releases (if any and we do try to have daily plays) will be released at least 1 hour prior to drop of the puck.....or earlier.

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 


UFC Fox 24 Johnson vs. Reis: 'Kansas City here I come' - 4/15/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to Kansas City where Demetrius Johnson will attempt to overtake Anderson Silva’s record for most consecutive Championship defenses.  The card tonight features some substantial chalk and with that comes the potential for voracious value!  We’ve conducted our usual comprehensive due diligence and offer you the following release....

(All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is recorded and accounted for each Monday AM in the “Money Morning’ report.  On line up to date results for all sporting events we publicize is available on the ‘Profitability’ tab located at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

-Let’s Fight-

Elliott -200 vs. Smolka +180

We released Smolka earlier this week +230 based on value alone for +230 is an overreaction to his past two less than stellar outings coupled with Elliott’s fine showing vs. tonight’s headliner Mighty Mouse.  Since our release the line has contracted to the point where we now possess market advantage.  Elliott will provide a top effort as he fights in front of him home state fans for he is a wiley, experienced, tough, unorthodox fighter.  Smolka must arrive focused and prepared to offer his top effort for another loss or two and he free falls down the fight food chain and toward the fast food unemployment line.  Elliott can be unorthodox but he can also be wild and a bit reckless in his attacking.  Smolka is younger, longer, and larger and he must get Elliott to the ground and try to tangle him up for the tap for his best advantage.  Smolka +180 or better is the target here...

Smolka +230 (released earlier this week)

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


2017 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs: Puck Passion - 4/10/2017

2017 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs:  The Passion of Playoff Puck

-Let’s skate-

Puck Enthusiasts from across the globe are soon to interrupt any/all routine activity in order to witness sixteen hockey teams compete in the greatest tournament in Sport for the most desired championship trophy of Sport, Lord Stanley’s Cup.

Every year we look forward to writing about the passion and respect we hold for this game, its culture and most especially its participants.  What these young players prepare for, undergo and endure in their single minded determination to clasp the Cup after completing an 82 game regular season is physically and mentally astounding.  These capable competitors vying for the Cup this year (and each year) are +/- 202 pounds of pure determination, grit, gristle and mean spiritedness.  Each of the 16 teams vying for the chance to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup hold a singularity of purpose coupled with a ferocious fever to fulfill their lifelong dream.  We soak this tournament up and prepare for it each year with the same singularity of purpose that these young men arrive to the rink with each and every night.  Each team’s enduring displays of championship mettle, sportsmanship, toughness and singularity of purpose is truly a thing to appreciate.  

Wednesday we’ll publish both our Wales and Campbell Conference previews complete with Future releases to win series, each Conference and the Stanley Cup.  Daily release(s) will be available also.  We’ll have Futures, Conference and Round I Series releases Wednesday.

The Philosophy:  ‘From the goal out’

Our philosophy in wagering on the Stanley Cup Tournament lies in our belief that true Stanley Cup contenders play hockey ‘from the goal out’.  Simply put any team we invest in must have a world class net minder(s) in goal protected by a group of dynamic defensemen who stonewall scoring chances thus insulating the net.  Finally if our chosen squad can score a few goals then we consider that a bonus.  We never toil over a team’s tallies because if the opponent cannot score you cannot lose so we view defense well more critically than we do offense in the quest for the Cup.  We won’t be burdened worrying about a team with a less than a world class minder and/or a blue line platoon that play putrid defense for we shop for net minding, defense, special teams and focus in determining who gets our look.  We’ve been following this formula in our Stanley Cup Tournament successes for decades and we know what works for us.  Our formula of dynamic Due Diligence, supreme Selectivity and precision Money Management provide a prescription for Puck profit that we wish to share with you this year.  

Any teams/positions we release Wednesday be it for a Series, the Conference or the Stanley Cup must absolutely follow a ‘from the goal out’ style of hockey because no other style will allow a capable club to clasp the Cup. 

I’ve been to UFC Championship fights, Championship Boxing matches, Super Bowls, All Star games, Final Fours, MLB Championship series and many other forms of sporting events but the electricity in an arena for a playoff hockey game (let alone a Stanley Cup Final) is unrivaled in sport….take my word for it.

Pricing Format

Stanley Cup Season package is $124.99 which provides Clients will all Futures, Series and any daily positions for all four rounds of the Playoff season.  It's our most comprehensive package.

Round by Round is available for $55.00 but this do not include any Futures released at the beginning of the Tournament.  

Here’s how our Playoff packages will be set up: Clients who have purchased the whole season will be allocated a total of 50 tokens (25 when they purchase the package then another 25 tokens will be added after the purchase of Round I.  We will divide the Playoff season into 5 segments each requiring 10 tokens; Futures, Rounds 1,2,3 and the Finals.  Enthusiasts may also opt to purchase any of the 5 rounds from us for 10 tokens ($55.00).  Clearly there is more value in the full Playoff  package.

It's our goal to be very affordable for the $100.00 player as all of our tracking is based on a one hundred dollar unit and we account for all results daily.    

We work daily to uncover value as the Playoffs evolve so it is not uncommon for us to have Series/Cup positions released during the second or even third round of the playoffs.  We almost always cover Futures wages to insure/enhance the bottom line as we regard Future positions as a tool to insure profitability. 

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming


UFC 210 Cormier vs. Johnson: 'New York state of GRIND' - 4/8/2017

Welcome fight Enthusiasts to UFC 210. 

We wish to thank the fine professionals at VSiN and the Southpoint Hotel and Casino for allowing us to share our views on Matt Youmans ‘The Book Report’ yesterday.   We recognize both Southpoint and VSiN as the Gold Standard with regard to ethic and integrity in Sports Gaming and we're flattered to be able to contribute our UFC and NHL views on their platform.  VSiN has taken a leadership position in the legitimization of sports gaming and on a daily basis offer superior gaming Intelligence and insight.  We released three positions yesterday with Matt and have included the link to that discussion of UFC 210 below.

-Let’s Fight-

(All GambLou.com all releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100.00 per position unless otherwise stated.  We employ $100.00 to easily track results as every GambLou.com position is accounted for weekly each Monday AM.  We display on line up to date results in all the sporting events we work on our ‘Profitability’ tab available to all at the top of the Gamblou.com webpage.  Public accounting allows us to display our bottom line profitability and Return on Investment while providing readers with 110% disclosure).

We believe there is value in a couple of putrid pups on the Fightpass card and will release each  (half unit).

Holbrook +230            Green +190

Link (we begin at the 33:00 mark): 

https://www.vsin.com/videos/the-book-report-4-7-17/

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming

 

We'll be up with full write ups by 3PM EST. These are the fighters we released on VSiN friday 4-7-17. 

 

Tuesday 4-4-17

Rosa +175

line is beginning to compress. We'll take the value....full write ups Saturday and all releases will be discussed Friday on VSiN (see below)

Saturday 3-25-16

Surprised at this opening number.  We've already missed some value but will jump now as this line is sure to plummet down away from this dynamic dog digit!

Oliviera +265

Anthiony Johnson will be harder to intimidate this time around.  He is a value at this price.

Johnson -110

full write ups Saturday the 8th

Also look for us on Brent Musburger's VSiN with Matt Youmans on his 'The Book Report' Friday April 7th! at 11AM PST

GambLou.com

Profitable Sports Gaming