Shanghai, China is the host city for this week’s UFC event.

Saturday’s fight slate is eleven fights deep with combatants from China, Japan and Indonesia populating much of the fight card hosting athletes from across the globe travelling in to compete against them.

There are few age variance fights on this slate as well there are but two fights with large men competing so we may see more athleticism, tactic and decision results as opposed to the dynamic amount of finishes we experienced last week.

This fight card begins at Midnight Saturday PST with the main card dropping at 3AM PST and once again we’ll be challenged to find some actionable betting opportunities as five of the scheduled twelve bouts (that I track) are lined with a favorite at least -250. Selectivity rules again regarding this fight card.

Favorites this year in the UFC are 70.3%.

Last week we dished a live dog in MarQuel Mederos who we had straight +225 for a half unit then we also had 1.5u on MarQuel +3.5pts +100. Mederos KO’d a tough willing Welsh wrecking ball in Mason Jones. Mederos closed -300 so it pays to be patient when it comes to investing in underdogs in the UFC!

Umar Nurmagomedov -485 vs. Song Yadong +435 Bantamweight (135lbs.) main event

Yadong is a Chinese fighter training in northern California at Team Alpha Male under the tutelage of Uriah Faber.

Yadong has tremendous strength, cardio, fortitude to compliment his superior boxing/muay Thai striking. Yadong’s wrestling, once elementary has evolved into an asset for him albeit one he cannot really rely on to win fights, rather he utilizes wrestling take down defense to ensure his competition has to compete against him standing.

Yadong’s well more comfortable on the feet than rolling on the mat but in this fight, make no mistake about the fact that Yadong will be taken down.

How Song manages this fight once his opponent presses forward to engage in his vice grip wrestling then grounds him will be the foundational aspect to this bout.

If Yadong can force Umar to compete with him standing, then this fight becomes more winnable for the local Chinese fighter training now in Cali. Yadong has earned a positive significant strike differential of .53 SS/M while his take down defense is a stout 73%.

Umar Nurmagomedov is simply a 135lb. version of Islam Makhachev. Nurmagomedov, International Master of Sports in Combat Sambo is the premier talent in the division.

Umar’s strike defense is as effective as there is in the whole of the organization as he sports a positive 2.0 SS/M advantage while his stellar defense allows a paltry 1.86 SS/M to be landed on him.

Umar’s striking has evolved into a legitimate weapon despite the fact that he uses that mode of fighting only long enough to engulf his opponent, drag them to the canvas then begin to envelope them in his smothering Sambo/wrestling/grappling.

Once this fight begins we can look for Song to try to start his striking quickly and involve the fans, but he must do so cautiously for any indication of over aggression or forward thrust sets him up for the takedown which is foundational to the Nurmagomedov plan.

Yadong will want to use his jab to initiate conflict, but he must also remain fleet afoot and utilize a wide stance in order to be able to fend off the takedown advances that Umar is certain to impose upon him.

The Nurmagomedov camp for their part feels that he can win this fight anywhere it goes and I believe that to be correct. Umar’s striking is a tool used simply to set up his dynamic take down ability (4.03 take downs executed per fifteen minutes of fight time).

Once Nurmagomedov can transition opponents from feet to floor his single point of focus is to squeeze the breath from the opponent. Nurmagomedov has finished three of his last six adversaries and in this fight, against the organizations sixth ranked bantamweight he will look to try to finish Yadong in any manner possible.

Larger cage, Chinese home crowd backing Yadong and Yadong arriving to this battle off a finish win against Deiveson Figueiredo together make me feel that this fight will be competitive as long as Yadong keeps it standing.

Total in this fight is lined 4.5Rds Over -230

Bantamweight fights in the UFC go to decision 55% of the time so I lean that this fight does in fact go to the judges.

Su Mudaerji -215 vs. Alex Perez +190 Flyweight (125lbs.)

Rematch!

In May of this year these two tussled in Macao and the result was a ‘no contest’ based on a south of the border teep-kick from Su to Perez.

Perez, thirty-four, closed a -125 favorite in that fight based on his level of competition faced and his depth of UFC experience.

Perez during the fight experienced difficulty entering the pocket on Su who is three inches taller and holds a substantial seven inch reach advantage.

Su, thirty, is primarily a striker so those height and reach numbers clearly pronounce him as a difficult chore for the shorter Perez and we saw that in the first fight.

In this bout, Perez is going to need to solve the distance problem he faces in this matchup which is the same distance issue he experienced just three months ago.

Su, trains at Uriah Faber’s Team Alpha Male, a renown gym that specializes in the wrestling base. Wrestling base is mandatory for Su for his movement, striking, Muay Thai and athleticism are all intertwined in his fluidity of striking but his take down defense especially against experienced well rounded grappling based athletes needs improvement.

For Perez, he must turn up the intensity of this fight from the opening bell and pressure Su, while forcing him into moving backwards for if Perez can successfully forge forward and pressure Su, he will have a more efficient time clasping onto the Tibetan fighter with the aspiration of dragging him to the floor for a flogging.

Su got Perez in Macao in May and now must face another Su home crowd for this fight which translates to no excuse for Perez for he is well aware that any close decision could well be flavored by a little Chinese home cooking.

Perez MUST make this fight like his pants are on fire and sell his soul to engage in his wrestling against Su.

Su meanwhile will need to utilize his athleticism in that huge thirty foot cage and mandate that this fight takes place standing. If he does that then it is my judgement that Su will be difficult to beat in this rematch.

Su Mudaerji -215

and I’ll pair him in a parlay into an upcoming fight where Armen Tsarukyan (currently priced -365) faces Brazilian Mauricio Ruffy on a fight card September 19^th. This parlay is available at DraftKings.

Tsarukyan -115 becomes the net price point for digital readers should Su realize success in the first leg!

Parlay outlay: 1.15u

Total in this fight stands 2.5 Rds. Under

GambLou.com

It’s Business!

This week Sacramento, CA, is the host city for UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs. Rodrigues.

This fight card is scheduled for thirteen bouts, six of which feature athletes who present fans with the highest rate of finishes, that’s the 170lb to Heavyweight divisions of the UFC.

Ten fighters travel into the states from out of the country to compete against domestic athletes so monitoring those weight cuts and fight week developments are important. Four Californian’s will compete on the card two facing one another (Emmers vs. Douglas) and the other two face combatants from Canada and Brazil.

Last week MacKenzie Dern -220 displayed the world class fight acumen we discussed in our breakdown to thoroughly dominate Canadian Gillian Robertson who was in over her head from the time this fight was announced.

The only actor that had a worse night than Robertson was her cornerman Din Thomas who provided five rounds of absolute un-motivating backup to his fighter. In fact, between the fourth and fifth round of the fight it was clear that Thomas was embarrassed at what was transpiring and he took it out on his fighter.

In the fight game sometimes an athlete hits the octagon with a blank stare and little fight. This is what happened to Robertson last Saturday unfortunately.

Let’s Fight!

Anthony Hernandez -170 vs. Gregory Rodrigues +140* Middleweight (185lbs.) Main Event

Tenth ranked UFC middleweight Rodrigues is a fighter who appears to be sculpted out of marble. He is large, extremely powerful and is diversely equipped in mixed martial arts weaponry.

Rodrigues, 10-3 in UFC competition can be inconsistent in his approach to maintaining his UFC momentum as every two to three fights Rodrigues gets matched against an athlete that finds a way to upset him whether that is Jared Cannonier or Bruno Ferreira.

Rodrigues, or ‘Robocop’ as he is called is a decorated black belt in BJJ and his kicks, strikes and elbows carry devastating damage upon landing.

While Rodrigues can start fights looking formidable, strong, and fresh he often begins to slow as an opponent remains competitive and is able to force him to fight into the late second or third round where Rodrigues size and musclebound frame begin to work against him.

Rodrigues strikes at a high output (5.53 significant strikes per minute), but he eats 4.78 SS/M of power strikes so he is more than willing to trade power shots something that his opponent Fluffy Hernandez will look to avoid.

Hernandez is the seventh ranked UFC middleweight who enters this fight off a disappointing KO loss against champion Sean Strickland to which there is no same. Hernandez SS/M is 4.57 which is impressive especially considering his effective strike evasion for Fluffy only receives 3.10 SS/M.

Hernandez was riding momentum into that Strickland title opportunity before he was dominated by the champion in a performance that was unusual for Hernandez in that he was never able to get his attack started let alone unleashed.

This fight is a terrific example of girth, might, power and limited energy supply (Rodrigues) facing a fighter who will be much the slighter man physically however Hernandez will command the quickness, speed, footwork, and most especially cardio components of this fight.

Early on Rodrigues will plod forward in order to ‘make’ this fight and attempt to force Hernandez to exchange while Hernandez will look to use that large cage to contribute to his footwork and strike evasion.

Robocop can slow during fights while Hernadez never tires, and in fact usually begins to differentiate himself from his opponent after the first round has expired simply because his conditioning is as lethal a weapon for Fluffy as is his offensive MMA weaponry.

Hernandez will use his feet to force Robocop into moving and defending early in this fight, as the bout transpires and as Rodrigues begins to slow Hernandez’ speed, deft footwork and volume striking should begin to control this fight.

Hernandez, a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu with a black belt in Marinoble’s MMA system will need to play matador in this fight and over time sap the limited cardio from the aggressive incoming power striker Rodrigues.

Rodrigues, for his part will need to attempt to utilize the early minutes of this fight to bully, badger and physically berate Hernandez with the intention of not allowing Hernandez to breath let alone find his way into the later rounds for it is in those later rounds where the differences in these two fighters will be most pronounced.

I have many thoughts on this fight so check back Friday on the ‘Bout Business Podcast for more on this main event.

Total in this fight: 3.5 Rds. Under -200

Mason Jones -265 vs. MarQuel Mederos +225 Lightweight (155lbs.)

This may be one of the most entertaining fights of the summer.

Jones travels in from Wales to take this fight against a fighter in Mederos who lives and trains in Phoenix. So travel and all of the periphery issues that surround Jones arriving to Sacramento then making weight are just a bit more complex than they are for the domestic fighter Mederos.

Jones is a simple warrior. He is big, strong, aggressive, and completely unafraid. Mason Jones ‘makes’ fights, and by that I mean he arrives, he checks in, then when the bell rings his single point of focus is to dislodged any opponent from their consciousness.

Jones weaponry is comprehensive for he is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, a black belt in Judo as well he has earned a black belt in Kickboxing.

On the feet, on the floor or against the cage, Jones sports the mixed martial arts acumen and experience to dominate any fight.

Where Jones can be challenged, however, is if he has to compete against an athlete with abundant speed, precision, strike evasion, footwork, and counterstriking.

Enter MarQuel Mederos.

Mederos has the advantage of living a few hours away from Sac-town so travel and weight cutting on paper should be a much easier ordeal for him entering this foundational fight.

Mederos is a fluid striker who makes up for a lack of one punch KO power by utilizing his athleticism, footwork, octagon generalship, and volume counter striking.

Where Jones hurls bombs to destroy, Mederos utilizes combinations/counterstrikes to eventually sap the steam from opponents, then transition into his volume striking and kicking in order to overwhelm the adversary.

Mederos last fight was a draw based on a point taken from him during the fight and that does not sit well with the 11-1-1 mixed martial artist.

He yearns for this fight, this opponent, and this challenge!

Once the bell for this fight rings, it will be mandatory for Mederos to utilize his fluidity of movement and counterstriking especially early when Jones has the most sting on his power strikes/kicks.

Mederos must manage this fight into the second round, from there his athleticism and feet will begin to display the vast gap in expertise between these two for I do not believe Jones will be able to catch up to a finitely focused Mederos once Mederos gets into this bout and gets lathered up.

Jones opened -225 in this fight which in my judgement was too high an opening number on Jones. Take the fact that that price has now escalated to Jones -280 (DraftKings) and we have what I believe is a great opportunity on the underdog here.

Mederos will need to use every bit of octagon savvy and defensive aptitude in that first round to both sap the walloper from Wales of his energy then force him to have to fight into the later stages of what Mederos needs to be a fifteen minute war.

Once and if this fight can get into the second round and beyond, the complexion will change and we’ll see Jones go from hunter to the hunted as Mederos utilizes his feet, his counterstriking acumen, and his deft strike defense.

These two will compete on the feet, however, if we do see Jones initiate wrestling, it will be a sure sign that Mederos’ speed and counterstriking is forcing Jones off plan which is exactly what I believe transpires late in the fight.

Mederos take down defense stands at 82%, so he will welcome Jones shooting in on him as that will create opportunity for further counter strikes, knees, and kicks.

Mederos is live.

Mederos +225 .50u

Mederos +3.5 pts +100; 1.5u

‘Bout Business Podcast has been white hot all summer long. Friday early afternoon the podcast drops across all podcast platforms and on GambLou.com. Catch all my final releases there.

Enjoy the fights and Thank You for reading

UFC Freedom 250 is a seven bout card to be held on America’s White House lawn.

This event begins at 5pm SUNDAY 6-15 and features two world title fights (one an interim title) and five other battles. Each bout except one features ranked fighters competing against one another.

This card was created to offer fans seven violence packed fights as each individual matchup features some of the UFC’s most prolific finishers.

Five of the seven freedom fights are lined with a favorite at -300 or above so navigating live underdogs may be somewhat treacherous but that will not stop me.

The Perriera vs. Gane heavyweight battle and Lopes vs. Garcia bout are tightly lined and have the potential to be epic matchups featuring world class athletes looking to earn a 1m dollar bonus offered by the UFC.

Know however that there will be competition for that 1m bonus as every athlete on the card is sure to sell out in order to accrue that bonus.

This week I’ll make brief observations on each of the seven bouts on this slate, and we’ll got from the bottom up.

Diego Lopes -165 vs. Stevie Garcia +145 Featherweight (145lbs.)

In May of 2023 Lopes showed up for a debut fight on short notice against a top three ranked killer in Mosvar Evloev. Lopes battled the world class grappling talent to a decision loss. After than fight Lopes was recognized as a top five featherweight.

Lopes has become a UFC favorite since he took that short notice fight and has exemplified the fact that fighters who take on uncomfortable and risky fights or fights on short notice quickly earn favoritism with the UFC. Lopes is the poster boy for that relationship.

Lopes was given many fight opportunities post Evloev, and he has knocked down all competition save for two losses against current champion Alexander Volkanovski where Lopes was dominated by the champion in one sided fights.

This is a monumental opportunity for Lopes as he is still being repaid for that short notice fight with Evloev. He now earns at the top of his division and with a win here Lopes can maintain his legitimacy as a championship contender at 145lbs.

In Stevie Garcia we have a fighter who trains at Jackson-Winklejohn in Albuquerque. Garcia is going to be privy to holding some physical advantages over Lopes in this bout. He will be the taller fighter holding a three inch reach advantage which in stand up fights delivers advantage.

Now Garcia has not faced the level of competition that Lopes has but Gacia does enter this fight on the momentum of having won his last seven bouts, six via finish and the seventh against Cal Katter via dominant striking. He also arrives rested and ready to fire fresh.

Lopes opened -300 for this fight which was a poor opening number. That price has now moved to Lopes -165 vs. Garcia +145 which is a more practical depiction of how this fight should be priced in my judgement.

This fight is going to be total chaos as both men want to stand, both want to plant their feet and both want to throw power strikes, kicks, elbows, and knees upon each other with the sole intent of rendering the other unconscious.

Key to this fight in my judgement is Lopes high level of fight activity and against elite competition for this will be his fourth fight in fourteen months. He’s prepared for Champion Volkanovski twice (and was drubbed in each) with a bout against Jean Silva placed in between. This is a lot of time spent in the gym with little rest for the weaponry of late.

To take a fight now after the diligence of those three camps then the attrition he undertook in each fight, forces me to believe that Lopes could be just a step off come Sunday.

Lopes has earned favorite status in this fight but Garcia’s size, length, and the fact he enters this fight riding tremendous momentum forces me to believe that somewhere along the line and most likely early, Garcia will be able to find Lopes as Lopes navigates his way inside the pocket to hurl.

Garcia +145

is the release however I’ll remain patient as more price advantage may be coming Garcia’s way as the fight nears. I’ll advise watching this line closely and when it reaches +150 or better….FIRE.

Bo Nickal -365 vs. Kyle Daukaus +300 Middleweight (185lbs.)

Daukaus, a BJJ black belt and a Muay Thai purple belt is a fighter now competing in his second stint in the UFC. This second stint was earned as Daukaus is a capable fighter albeit not one who will ever scratch the top ten of the division in my humble estimation.

2-0 since his return to the UFC Daukaus has been working diligently on his BJJ and wrestling which is timely as he will be in the cage against a world class, elite wrestler this Sunday.

In Bo Nickal, a D1 NCAA champion wrestler who holds a purple belt in BJJ. He is a pedigreed world class talent who arrives with an elite level of wrestling and a history of success in every endeavor he has ventured in when it comes to sports competition.

Nickal’s still raw as a UFC fighter and that was displayed clearly in his fight against Renier de Ritter where he was so fatigued that he was unable to get off the stool for round three.

Needless to say that was a learning experience for Nickal as well a motivational opportunity because the MMA world hurled aggressive displeasure at the wrestler after that performance.

Nickal came back from that embarrassment against RDR and finished Brazilian Rodolpho Viera with a third round head kick in his last fight which provided him this opportunity.

It’s my belief that Daukaus is in this fight to catapult Nickal and his career forward. We know the UFC would like to see Nickal win and they’ve provided a great showcase for him to do just that. The question is…will Daukaus cooperate?

Total in this fight: 1.5Rds Over -150

Strong lean over

Maricio Ruffy -710 vs. Michael Chandler +580 Lightweight mismatch

Michael Chandler is now forty years of age, but he is a world class wrestling talent with a black belt in BJJ to supplement his ultra-aggressive forward pressing power striking offense.

Chandler’s aggression is always on display and often times at the expense of his fight IQ and defense for he fights like a boxer despite the fact that he is an accomplished wrestler.

In this fight, the UFC has Chandler in there for two purposes; One, to be a willing partner to the absolute razor blade that is Mauricio Ruffy and second to allow Ruffy to retire the wily veteran, so the UFC does not have to.

Ruffy, a former fighting nerd now training is Australia is a clairvoyant power striker. His length, his diversity of power striking/kicking and his aggression have established him as a legitimate threat to the top three of the division since he entered the UFC.

This will be a fight that revolves around distance for Chandler absolutely must NOT allow Ruffy to maneuver in it yet the paradox in that is that Chandler must find a way to enter the pocket to either engage in striking or initiate his wrestling.

Both carry high risk against this finisher as this is another example of the UFC looking to catapult a vicious striker up the rankings to create more money fights down the line with other stalwarts in the top five of the division.

Total in this fight: 1.5Rds Under -140

Sean O’Malley -350 vs. Aiemann Zahabi +300 Bantamweight (135lbs.)

Zahabi, brother to Firas who owns TriStar Gym in Canada is a fighter with tremendous momentum entering this fight.

A black belt in BJJ and solid wrestling chops provide Zahabi with the tools required to engage opponents while simultaneously wearing them out with his unrelenting pressure.

Since 2021 Zahabi has won seven fights, five via decision so it’s clear his cardio, his wrestling and his cage IQ provide him advantage over many however his striking, while refined is powerless.

In Sean O’Malley we have a fighter that delivers tremendous eyeballs to the UFC, so he is treated with favoritism, care, and in this fight he is gifted with an advantageous matchup as he is taller, longer, younger, and well more skilled than his Canadian counterpart.

O’Malley’s a deft moving striker with flamboyant and diverse striking delivery as well he has been grinding on his BJJ/wrestling for years.

Despite the fact that he is unable to compete in grappling against the likes of the Dvalishvili’s and Yan’s of the division, O’Malley is more than equipped enough to fend off the advances of Zahabi and manipulate this fight into a stand up, distance striking display that clearly favors Suga Sean.

This is a set up fight to thrust O’Mally into another headline position in an upcoming card. Remember fight fans, today’s UFC is about violence and ratings!

The UFC is able to ‘manicure’ results by the way they matchmake, in this one they’re telling us that they yearn for O’Malley (and his drawing power) to continue to win fights, sell tickets and allow the UFC to earn from its promotion of the ‘Suga’ show.

Cyril Gane -1155 vs. Alex Pereira -105 Heavyweight Interim Title

Gane, who is mighty athletic, nimble on the feet and country strong comes into this interim title with a decorated Muay Thai transcript where he retired with a 13-0-0 tally.

Gane has tremendous strike evasion skill however he possesses little to no wrestling or BJJ acumen as we witnessed when Jon Jones rubbed him all over the canvas a few years back.

Gane has not competed since September of last year when he blatantly poked Tom Aspinal in the eye and that fight was stopped in the early first round. Gane and his teammates poking opponents in the eye is not an accident fight fans.

As an aside, poking opponents in the eye is a dynamic advantage in fights. Many fighters and even fight camps (the MMA Factory in Paris, Gane’s gym is the most notorious for employing this tactic) utilize the tactic religiously.

Gane and fellow Factory team member Nassourdine Imavov are experts at the practice, one which I believe is encouraged in camp…especially since the UFC has shown no willingness to offer any deterrent for the action.

Gane’s fighting forte’ is striking and using movement to create angles for his strikes kicks, and of course…..pokes. His athleticism must not be underappreciated as well how he is able to expend energy as a 265 pound athlete.

With Pereira, we have a fighter who the UFC and Dana White yearn to win, for with a victory the UFC principal will try to shove Jon Jones into the closet by proclaiming Alex as the new modern UFC ‘GOAT’ should he step up into this heavyweight challenge and win this interim title.

Periera himself is world class in all aspects of striking, boxing, and kickboxing. He is simply a striking savant. His experience in elite competition in the Kickboxing world trumps Gane’s kickboxing body of work in comprehensive fashion.

Pereira’s kicks are bludgeoning and the power he packs in his strikes, knees and elbows has carried through the middleweight and light heavyweight divisions, but this is now heavyweight and the men here are 265lbs.

Sure, early on the Periera power is bound to be profuse however, how will the size, girth, and athleticism of Gane affect Pereira over rounds and at this new weight class? These are the fundamental questions that must addressed before committing to any side in this fight.

While on the surface it may appear that these two will tussle on the feet I can assure fight fans that if there is any advantage in the grappling/wrestling, that it is Pereira that would own that advantage and in relative strong fashion.

He has been training with Glover Teixeira for better than five years now and while world class wrestling is not something one can master in five years, I can most assuredly state that if this fight finds itself on the floor,  then it would be Periera who would hold great advantage over Gane.

On the VSiN ‘By the Books’ program I released two parlays tied to this fight over the course of the last two weeks, they are as follows:

-Yadong -600/Pavlovich -600/Periera -110 +170     2.0u returns 3.40u

-Brendan Allen -195/Gane -112 +185                            2.0u returns 3.70u

Through the ability to parlay ahead in fights on DraftKings, VSiN listeners now hold a guaranteed profit in this co main event fight. A fight by the way that I really have no idea how it will go!

Total in this co main event is 2.5Rds over -240

Strong lean over

Ilya Topuria -600 vs. Justin Gaethje +500 Lightweight (155lbs.) Title

Topuria is an anomaly.

The guy is small for this weight class yet his striking power and precision, coupled with his ability to evade strikes is matched only by his preparation and execution in fights.

Nimble footwork helps him maintain excellent defense for Topuria evades damage effectively, but his diversified weaponry make him a threat no matter where a fight transitions. Striking, BJJ, wrestling and evasion of strikes Topuria is dominant at each.

Topuria sports a positive 1.0 significant strike advantage per minute of fight time as well he is near impossible to take down. Meanwhile he realizes an average of two takedowns per fifteen minutes of fight time.

Topuria the fighter has devastated current champions in the organization as if they were but MMA neophytes and now he steps into this high profile opportunity. To be a Spaniard entering the US to take on one of its own rugged, worthy and most dangerous red, white, and blue American in Justin Gaethje is a challenge Topuria yearned for despite the fact that he and the organization thought they were setting up a Topuria Paddy Pimlett matchup!.

Topuria will be the much smaller man in the cage Sunday, but he’ll be eight years the younger man also. With that youth comes fleet footedness, strike evasion, and the ability to hit and run.

For Gaethje, we’re talking about a warrior who arrived to the UFC with a world class wrestling ability, yet he competed in fights as if he never practiced wrestling a day in his life. Sure Gaethje employs some aspects of wrestling in his fights, but Gaethje does not come to hug and kiss nor rattle and roll. Gaethje comes to kill or be killed and that’s exactly what’s going to play out here.

The logical fight handicappers will be unable to overcome the vast momentum and the mixed martial arts advantages Topuria possesses.

Others, so very few others, will try to hitch one last ride on the old mule who has delivered profitability in his fights for bettors for close to a decade in this organization.

Yes Gaethje is at the end of his career but there is little way he does not come out and attempt to give his best for himself, his family and as an American representing the USA.

Funny things occur in fights and while the tsunami of money is rolling in on Topuria, I for one will be making some form of modest position on Gaethje Sunday night to slap the smug from this Spaniard.

Remember Ronda Roussey was unbeatable until Holly Holm’ed her and Merab Dvalishvili was the machine until Petr Yan threw a monkey rensch into his machinery so upsets can happen….. will one happen Sunday on the White House Lawn?

Total in this fight: 1.5 Rds. Over -150

Lean over

Friday afternoon the ‘Bout Business Podcast will drop across all podcast platforms and on the GambLou.com webpage.

Thanks for reading and enjoy the hostilities!

GambLou.com

It’s Business!

Fight Enthusiasts

Forgive me for having to post this week’s ‘Bout Business Podcast on the webpage.

The GambLou.com webpage does add a tremendous amount of flexibility when something goes unexpected or haywire around GambLou World HQ.

In any case, no breakdowns this week only releases and I’ll update all future wagers etc. next week when the BBP returns.

In last week’s ‘Sneak-Teep’ podcast we made the following parlay wager that is alive into the White House card:

Yadong/Pavlovich/Pereira +160 2u for 3.2u

Now let’s add this:

Allen -185 parlay to Gane -118 2u

Gane fights next week at the White House card

That parlay returns +185 so our wager is 2u for 3.90u.

Should Allen win (and I believe he does very well in this matchup despite the market moves to Edmen) then we will own Perriera for 2.0u to earn 3.20u AND Gane 2.0u to earn 3.90u.

Brendan Allen is going to ground Shahbazyan early then dominate…

Let’s earn:

Muhammad -110 2u

Chairez +115 1u

McGhee -455 parlay to Luna +110 1u returns 1.57u

That’s four wagers with an investment of 6u. LFG!

GambLou.com

It’s Business